Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 5.398758 5.887791 6.435913 7.103508 7.905723 8.853896 10.083861
2025-01-19 4.540043 5.121911 5.817539 6.732191 7.939727 9.540439 11.947631
2025-01-26 4.238171 4.943632 5.844158 7.130826 9.028626 11.951800 17.453879
2025-02-02 4.156041 5.023314 6.213341 8.089833 11.290563 17.481913 35.582040
2025-02-09 3.934703 4.884316 6.262337 8.621237 13.225776 24.710689 98.273668
2025-02-16 3.701075 4.693668 6.202042 8.976607 15.149112 36.036349 NaN
2025-02-23 3.478784 4.489173 6.084594 9.210240 17.101183 56.320580 NaN
2025-03-02 3.174654 4.125715 5.651335 8.721641 16.934603 67.983731 NaN
2025-03-09 2.969190 3.894762 5.411020 8.576521 17.780396 104.272469 NaN
2025-03-16 2.735058 3.597928 5.020702 8.025656 17.006162 117.318017 NaN
2025-03-23 2.618464 3.478718 4.929658 8.122738 18.695363 343.029396 NaN
2025-03-30 2.512041 3.366181 4.835870 8.193491 20.490339 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 2.337724 3.144860 4.546425 7.804913 20.350429 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 2.174436 2.931759 4.253771 7.358764 19.677658 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 2.121736 2.900114 4.303728 7.820564 25.015887 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 2.122629 2.960246 4.546249 8.954479 42.063274 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 2.074732 2.930097 4.601156 9.588304 66.105374 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 2.014730 2.872514 4.588972 10.014026 108.597459 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 1.950899 2.802323 4.538845 10.294289 200.978534 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 1.849107 2.654124 4.292849 9.697814 175.549696 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 1.776644 2.556800 4.155655 9.520359 230.588356 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 1.686273 2.420883 3.917057 8.858275 163.554001 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 1.640625 2.366848 3.864626 8.972927 312.478280 NaN NaN